According to the latest economic report from the U.S. Conference of Mayors, Chicago's gross metropolitan product still ranks highest among the Rust Belt cities:
| Metropolitan area | GMP in US$ billions (2010) |
| Chicago | 531.4 |
| Detroit | 196.3 |
| St. Louis | 128.7 |
| Pittsburgh | 115.6 |
| Cleveland | 105.1 |
| Cincinnati | 100.9 |
| Milwaukee | 85.3 |
And is the third-highest in the U.S.:
| Metropolitan area | GMP in US$ billions (2010) |
| New York | 1282.6 |
| Los Angeles | 737.9 |
| Chicago | 531.4 |
| Washington | 426.1 |
| Houston | 378.9 |
| Dallas-Fort Worth | 376.8 |
| Philadelphia | 347.7 |
| San Francisco | 337.4 |
| Boston | 311.3 |
| Atlanta | 270.6 |
IRS data show that Chicago is a popular relocation spot for Rust Belt natives:
| County | County Seat | Migrations to Cook County (2004-08) | Migrations from Cook County (2004-08) | Net Migrations to Cook County (2004-08) |
| Milwaukee | Milwaukee | 4,607 | 5,259 | -652 |
| Cuyahoga | Cleveland | 2,560 | 1,706 | 854 |
| Wayne | Detroit | 3,069 | 1,684 | 1,385 |
| Hamilton | Cincinnati | 1,685 | 1,283 | 402 |
| Allegheny | Pittsburgh | 1,273 | 981 | 292 |
| St. Louis city | St. Louis | 1,159 | 883 | 276 |
However, the mayors believe that Pittsburgh will recover jobs lost during the recession before Chicago and its feeder cities:
| Metropolitan area | Return to peak employment | Employment peak before recession | Job losses | Job loss (%) |
| Pittsburgh | 2012Q1 | 2008Q2 | -37,500 | -3.3% |
| Chicago | 2014Q3 | 2008Q1 | -328,900 | -7.2% |
| Milwaukee | 2014Q3 | 2007Q2 | -56,800 | -6.6% |
| St. Louis | 2014Q3 | 2008Q1 | -81,700 | -6.0% |
| Cincinnati | 2014Q4 | 2008Q1 | -72,300 | -6.9% |
| Cleveland | 2021Q2 | 2006Q1 | -90,500 | -8.4% |
| Detroit | Beyond 2021 | 2005Q1 | -323,400 | -15.8% |
And long before many struggling Rust Belt cities:
| Metropolitan area | Return to peak employment | Employment peak before recession | Job losses | Job loss (%) |
| Pittsburgh | 2012Q1 | 2008Q2 | -37,500 | -3.3% |
| Rochester | 2012Q2 | 2008Q2 | -18,200 | -3.5% |
| Buffalo | 2013Q1 | 2008Q3 | -18,900 | -3.4% |
| Syracuse | 2013Q2 | 2008Q1 | -13,300 | -4.1% |
| Erie | 2014Q4 | 2007Q2 | -8,700 | -6.5% |
| Grand Rapids | 2015Q4 | 2005Q3 | -36,700 | -9.4% |
| Akron | 2017Q4 | 2008Q1 | -28,600 | -8.3% |
| Canton | Beyond 2021 | 2005Q1 | -17,700 | -10.1% |
| Dayton | Beyond 2021 | 2005Q1 | -42,400 | -10.3% |
| Flint | Beyond 2021 | 2005Q2 | -24,700 | -15.8% |
| South Bend | Beyond 2021 | 2005Q1 | -16,000 | -10.9% |
| Toledo | Beyond 2021 | 2006Q1 | -40,500 | -12.1% |
| Youngstown | Beyond 2021 | 2005Q3 | -27,000 | -11.0% |
The forecast for Pittsburgh's job market is even brighter than those of most destination cities for former Chicagoans:
| Metropolitan area | Return to peak employment | Employment peak before recession | Job losses | Job loss (%) |
| Austin | 2011Q2 | 2008Q3 | -21,600 | -2.8% |
| San Antonio | 2011Q3 | 2008Q2 | -22,000 | -2.6% |
| Houston | 2011Q4 | 2008Q3 | 106,700 | -4.1% |
| Dallas-Fort Worth | 2012Q1 | 2008Q1 | -148,900 | -5.0% |
| Pittsburgh | 2012Q1 | 2008Q2 | -37,500 | -3.3% |
| San Jose | 2014Q1 | 2008Q1 | -78,600 | -8.5% |
| Seattle | 2014Q1 | 2008Q1 | -135,300 | -7.7% |
| Charlotte | 2014Q2 | 2008Q1 | -72,800 | -8.4% |
| Orlando | 2014Q2 | 2007Q4 | -101,400 | -9.3% |
| Portland | 2014Q2 | 2008Q1 | -82,500 | -7.9% |
| Atlanta | 2014Q4 | 2007Q3 | -217,800 | -8.9% |
| Phoenix | 2016Q2 | 2007Q3 | -244,100 | -12.7% |
| Las Vegas | 2017Q3 | 2007Q2 | -133,900 | -14.4% |
As well as those of many large metropolitan areas:
| Metropolitan area | Return to peak employment | Employment peak before recession | Job losses | Job loss (%) |
| Washington | 2011Q3 | 2008Q3 | -76,200 | -2.5% |
| Houston | 2011Q4 | 2008Q3 | -106,700 | -4.1% |
| Dallas-Fort Worth | 2012Q1 | 2008Q1 | -148,900 | -5.0% |
| Pittsburgh | 2012Q1 | 2008Q2 | -37,500 | -3.3% |
| Boston | 2013Q2 | 2008Q2 | -103,300 | -4.2% |
| New York | 2013Q2 | 2008Q1 | -385,200 | -4.5% |
| Philadelphia | 2013Q4 | 2008Q1 | -135,400 | -4.8% |
| Chicago | 2014Q3 | 2008Q1 | -328,900 | -7.2% |
| Atlanta | 2014Q4 | 2007Q3 | -217,800 | -8.9% |
| San Francisco | 2015Q4 | 2008Q1 | -166,100 | -8.1% |
| Los Angeles | 2018Q2 | 2007Q3 | -537,100 | -9.5% |
But migrants from Chicago's feeder cities aren't flocking to Pittsburgh:
| County | County Seat | Net Migrations to Cook County (2004-08) | Net Migrations to Allegheny County (2004-08) |
| Milwaukee | Milwaukee | -652 | 46 |
| Cuyahoga | Cleveland | 854 | -16 |
| Wayne | Detroit | 1,385 | 84 |
| Hamilton | Cincinnati | 402 | -26 |
| St. Louis city | St. Louis | 276 | 33 |
Could that change, though, if Pittsburgh receives more positive press from national sources such as Forbes and The Wall Street Journal? In its quest to become a leading world city, Chicago may have relinquished power within its region. The City of Big Shoulders could continue to shrink if the Steel City successfully rebuilds its job market and reverses its population decline.
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